The Skills Shortage Isn't What You Think It Is
Technology skills shortage is invoked constantly to explain hiring difficulties, project delays, and wage inflation. But the shortage narrative obscures more complex realities about what skills are actually scarce, why employers struggle to hire, and what solutions might work.
The simple story is that demand for technology workers exceeds supply, creating shortage that pushes wages up and leaves positions unfilled. Reality is messier. Different skills face different market dynamics. Some shortage claims reflect unrealistic requirements rather than actual scarcity. And structural factors beyond pure supply-demand create hiring friction.
What’s Actually Scarce
Certain technology skills genuinely face supply constraints. Cybersecurity expertise, particularly for specialized roles including penetration testing, security architecture, and incident response, is clearly undersupplied relative to demand. Organizations struggle to hire security staff, and experienced security professionals command high salaries.
The cybersecurity shortage reflects both growing demand as organizations prioritize security and limited talent pipeline. Security expertise requires specific knowledge and experience that takes years to develop. University computer science programs include limited security content, and transitioning from general IT work to specialized security roles isn’t straightforward.
Data science and machine learning skills also face genuine shortage, though less severe than often claimed. Organizations want data scientists, but many aren’t clear what they need data scientists to do. Some positions labeled “data scientist” are essentially analytics roles that don’t require specialized machine learning expertise. Others require skills that are genuinely scarce and take substantial time to develop.
Cloud infrastructure and DevOps engineering skills are in strong demand, particularly for senior roles. As organizations migrate to cloud and adopt modern infrastructure practices, they need people who can architect and manage cloud environments, implement infrastructure as code, and build CI/CD pipelines. Mid-level and senior engineers with these skills have many opportunities.
What Isn’t Really Scarce
General software development skills are less scarce than hiring difficulty suggests. Australia produces thousands of computer science graduates annually, and many existing workers have software development capabilities. Yet employers claim they can’t find developers. This apparent paradox reflects several factors.
Many employers seek senior engineers with specific technology stack experience and particular domain knowledge. These requirements are restrictive. A talented developer with five years of experience in Java might be perfectly capable of learning Python and a new domain, but employers often want someone who already has the exact combination of skills rather than investing in transition time.
The “shortage” of senior engineers partly reflects that senior engineers are by definition limited. Years of experience are required to become senior, and the technology industry is relatively young. More junior developers exist than senior ones simply because cohorts are larger, and attrition eliminates some people from the industry over time. Employers wanting senior-level skills at junior-level pricing face disappointment.
Experience requirements are sometimes unrealistic. Job postings seeking five years of experience with technology that’s existed for three years indicate confused hiring practices. Requirements that list twenty specific technologies, all supposedly necessary, suggest employers haven’t identified what skills actually matter versus nice-to-have.
The Experience Paradox
Entry-level technology positions are genuinely difficult to secure, despite employers claiming skills shortages. Graduates and career changers face a different labor market than experienced professionals. Employers want experienced workers and are reluctant to invest in training junior staff.
This creates a paradox. Organizations claim they can’t hire enough technology workers, yet many reject early-career candidates because they lack experience. How do people gain experience if no one will hire them without experience? The answer is that some organizations do hire junior workers, train them, and often lose them to other employers who only hire experienced workers.
The training investment problem is real. Technology skill development takes time, and organizations that invest in training junior staff often see them leave once they have marketable experience. This creates rational incentive to preferentially hire experienced workers rather than training junior ones, even though collectively this reduces overall supply of experienced workers.
The Migration Factor
Skilled migration has provided substantial technology workforce to Australia. Many technology workers in Australia arrived on skilled migration visas, and many technology companies depend substantially on migrant workers. Restrictions on skilled migration directly affect technology workforce availability.
Migration policy involves tradeoffs between domestic worker employment, overall workforce supply, and labor cost impacts. Restrictive migration policy reduces technology worker supply and pushes wages up. Liberal migration policy increases supply and moderates wage growth but potentially displaces domestic workers or reduces incentive for employers to invest in training.
Current Australian skilled migration policy sits somewhere in the middle, with occupation lists, salary thresholds, and labor market testing requirements creating friction but not prohibiting skilled migration. Technology occupations are generally on skilled occupation lists, but visa processing times and requirements create hiring delays.
Remote Work’s Mixed Effects
The shift to remote work affected technology labor markets substantially. Australian workers can now work for offshore companies without emigrating, creating competition for their skills from global employers. This benefits workers through more opportunities and potentially higher pay, but it means Australian technology companies compete globally for talent.
Conversely, Australian companies can hire globally, accessing workers anywhere. But doing so requires accepting international salary scales, dealing with time zone differences, and managing distributed teams. Companies that want to pay Australian salaries struggle to hire internationally because they’re competing with US and European companies paying substantially more.
The net effect of remote work on Australian technology skills shortage is unclear. It increases both supply (Australian companies can hire globally) and demand (Australian workers have global opportunities). The equilibrium likely involves some Australian workers exiting domestic employment for offshore companies, while Australian companies hire some offshore workers, with net effect depending on relative flows.
The Training Pipeline
Australian universities produce roughly 7,000 computer science and IT graduates annually. Additional thousands come from vocational education and coding bootcamps. This pipeline provides substantial new technology workers each year, yet employers report continuing difficulty hiring.
Several factors limit pipeline effectiveness. Not all graduates enter technology industry: some choose other careers, and some struggle to find technology employment. Graduate skill levels vary substantially, and employers perceive that many graduates lack practical skills for immediate productive employment.
University curricula traditionally emphasize computer science fundamentals over specific technologies and practical application. This prepares students for long-term careers and continued learning but can leave graduates needing workplace-specific skill development. Whether universities should provide more vocational training or maintain focus on fundamentals is debated.
Coding bootcamps attempted to fill gaps by providing intensive practical training. Results are mixed. Some bootcamp graduates successfully transition into technology roles. Others struggle to find employment because they lack both university credentials and substantial experience. Bootcamps serve useful function for motivated career changers but aren’t magic solution to skills shortage.
The Diversity Deficit
Technology workforce lacks diversity across several dimensions, particularly gender. Women represent roughly 28% of Australian technology workforce, well below population proportion. This represents massive underutilization of potential talent.
Multiple factors contribute to technology gender imbalance. Educational pipeline shows gender gaps from high school onward, with fewer young women studying computer science. Workplace culture in some technology organizations creates retention challenges for women who do enter the field. And systemic factors including bias in hiring and promotion affect women’s career progression.
Addressing gender imbalance would substantially expand technology workforce supply. If technology workforce gender ratio matched population, tens of thousands of additional workers would be available. This requires intervention across education pipeline, hiring practices, and workplace culture. Progress is occurring but slowly.
Similar patterns exist for other underrepresented groups. Indigenous Australians, people with disabilities, and people from lower socioeconomic backgrounds are underrepresented in technology. Expanding participation from these groups would increase workforce supply while improving diversity.
What Would Actually Help
Addressing technology skills shortage requires multiple approaches. Expanding university capacity for computer science programs would increase graduate pipeline, though this takes years to affect supply. Supporting vocational education and bootcamp programs can help, particularly for career changers, though quality control is important.
Reducing barriers for employers to hire and train junior workers would help address experience paradox. Government incentives for technology apprenticeships or wage subsidies for junior hires might encourage more organizations to invest in training. Tax treatment of training costs could be more favorable.
Skilled migration settings matter significantly. Processing temporary skill shortage visas faster would reduce hiring friction. Clearer pathways from temporary to permanent residency would improve retention. And realistic salary thresholds that reflect actual technology labor market would prevent artificial constraints.
Improving workplace culture and addressing barriers to diversity would expand available workforce. This requires sustained effort from employers, education institutions, and industry bodies. Progress is possible but requires moving beyond rhetoric to concrete action.
Importantly, some hiring difficulty reflects unrealistic employer expectations rather than genuine shortage. Organizations need to assess whether requirements are actually necessary or whether they could hire candidates with adjacent skills and invest in transition. Being more flexible on specific technology experience while focusing on fundamental capabilities would expand viable candidate pools.
The Realistic Assessment
Australia faces genuine technology skills shortages in specific domains, particularly cybersecurity and specialized roles. But much of what’s labeled skills shortage reflects other factors: unrealistic requirements, unwillingness to hire and train junior workers, and structural barriers to workforce participation.
Expanding technology workforce supply is possible through multiple interventions, but none are quick fixes. Educational pipeline changes take years to affect workforce composition. Cultural change in organizations happens slowly. Migration policy adjustments face political constraints. Realistic skills shortage solutions require sustained effort across multiple domains rather than single silver bullet.
The technology skills conversation would benefit from more precision. Rather than generic “skills shortage” claims, specific analysis of which skills are scarce and why would inform better solutions. Some challenges require workforce expansion, others require employer practice changes, and still others require addressing systemic barriers to participation. Distinguishing between these isn’t just analytical precision: it determines what interventions might actually help versus what’s political theater that doesn’t address underlying issues.